Oscars

Oscar Nominations 2004 - How did I do?

When will I ever learn?

The nominations were announced about 2 hours ago, and I just finished tallying my predictions. Overall I was 29/40... Pretty bad :). The good news was that I was 5/5 in the Best Picture prediction, but so was every other Oscar watcher out there since this race was indeed the most predictable. I was also 5/5 in the Best Actress category which was somewhat less set in stone. On the other hand, the Original Screenplay category tricked me with only 2/5 correct predictions.

Now, to the moral of this year (wasn't this the same moral two years ago and last year?) - wild-guesses do not work! And when the wild guesses are actually wishful thinking, then they most certainly will not work! In 3 categories I scored 3/5 because I included my favourites (Mike Nichols, Javier Bardem and Cloris Leachman) which, of course, didn't make it, and I picked the wrong likely candidate out of the rest. If I count the "almost" right predictions (including my immediate substitutes) the balance would be 37/40 with the only big surprise being Mike Leigh's nominations for Vera Drake. But enough about my predictions. You can check my final predictions in each category with some more comments on the particular nominations. I also color-coded the correct predictions, the almost correct ones and what I didn't anticipate at all.

Coming soon, comments on the actual nominations.