2004 Awards Predictions Archives
Best Picture Posted on 01:11 PM
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| The Aviator (Miramax) |
Finding Neverland (Miramax) |
Million Dollar Baby (Warner Bros) |
Ray (Universal) |
Sideways (Fox Searchlight) |
Should Win: Ray Could Win: Million Dollar Baby Will Win: The Aviator
I was right about one thing: Best Picture and Best Director did not split this year. And that leaves Scorsese empty handed one mrore time...
Best Director Posted on 01:15 PM
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| Clint Eastwood (Million Dollar Baby) |
Taylor Hackford (Ray) |
Mile Leigh (Vera Drake) |
Alexander Payne (Sideways) |
Martin Scorsese (The Aviator) |
Should Win: Martin Scorsese Could Win: Clint Eastwood Will Win: Martin Scorsese
Up until the last minute I believed that Scorsese was about to receive his rightful reward. Seeing Eastwood win Best Director, all I could think was that I do not believe in "splitting" between this category and the Best Picture award...
Best Actor Posted on 02:56 PM
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| Don Cheadle (Hotel Rwanda) |
Johnny Depp (Finding Neverland) |
Leonardo DiCaprio (The Aviator) |
Clint Eastwood (Million Dollar Baby) |
Jamie Foxx (Ray) |
Should Win: Jamie Foxx Will Win: Jamie Foxx
Leo DiCaprio was among the few that did not stand up to applaud Foxx... Perhaps he was tired. Or did he really think he deserved to win this one?
Best Actress Posted on 03:01 PM
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| Annette Bening (Being Julia) |
Catalina Sandino Moreno (Maria Full of Grace) |
Imelda Staunton (Vera Drake) |
Hillary Swank (Million Dollar Baby) |
Kate Winslet (Eternal Sunshine...) |
Should Win: Imelda Staunton/ Kate Winslet
Could Win: Imelda Staunton/Annete Bening
Will Win: Hillary Swank
Watching the clips of the nominees and then Swank winning as predicted I could only be sad that the typical oscar-bait roles are still the ones that win easily in this category. And God, Swank gave one of the worst speeches possible...
Best Supporting Actor Posted on 03:03 PM
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| Alan Alda (The Aviator) |
Thomas Haden Church (Sideways) |
Jamie Foxx (Collateral) |
Morgan Freeman (Million Dollar Baby) |
Clive Owen (Closer) |
Should Win: Clive Owen Could Win: Thomas Haden Church Will Win: Morgan Freeman
(more...)Best Supporting Actress Posted on 03:06 PM
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| Cate Blanchett (The Aviator) |
Laura Linney (Kinsey) |
Virginia Madsen (Sideways) |
Sophie Okonedo (Hotel Rwanda) |
Natalie Portman (Closer) |
Should win: Natalie Portman
Could win: Cate Blanchett
Will win: Natalie Portman
My hopeful surprise did not happen. Aviator looks strong early in the show.
Best Screenplay Posted on 03:41 PM
Original Screenplay
- Charlie Kaufman (Eternal Sunshine...)
- John Logan (The Aviator)
- T. George & K. Pearson (Hotel Rwanda)
- Brad Bird (The Incredibles)
- Mike Leigh (Vera Drake)
Adapted Screenplay
(more...)Standalone Categories Posted on 03:48 PM
Foreign Film
- The Sea Inside (Spain)
- The Chorists (France)
- Downfall (Germany)
- As It Is in Heaven (Sweden)
- Yesterday (South Africa)
Documentary
- Super-Size Me
- Born Into Brothels
- Story of the Weeping Camel
- Twist of Faith
- Tupac: Resurrection
Animated Feature
- The Incredibles (Pixar/Disney)
- Shrek 2 (DreamWorks)
- Shark Tale (DreamWorks)
Documentary Short
- Children of Leningradsky
- Autism is a World
- Mighty Times: The Children's March
- Sister Rose's Passion
- Hardwood
Live-action Short
- Everything in This Country...
- Little Terrorist
- Two Cars, One Night
- 7:35 in the Morning
- Wasp
Animated Short
- Guard Dog
- Gopher Broke
- Birthday Boy
- Ryan
- Lorenzo
The votes in all these categories, except for animated feature film will be cast only by those members that attended screenings of all the nominated movies in the respective categories.
(more...)Technical Categories Posted on 03:56 PM
Marked below are my predictions as to who will win and who could win (my 2nd guess). For my comments and opinions on who should win had I had a ballot, scroll all the way down.
Cinematography
- The Aviator
- House of Flying Daggers
- Passion of the Christ
- Very Long Engagement
- Phantom of the Opera
Editing
- The Aviator
- Collateral
- Million Dollar Baby
- Ray
- Finding Neverland
Original Score
- Finding Neverland (Jan Kaczmarek)
- Passion of the Christ (John Debney)
- Harry Potter 3 (John Williams)
- Lemony Snicket (Thomas Newman)
- The Village (James Howard)
The last minute change was warranted. Indeed voting here goes for the most memorable score among the most viewed/popular movies. This is how Newman and Howard keep increasing their count of win-less nominations
Art Direction
- The Aviator
- Lemony Snicket
- Finding Neverland
- Very Long Engagement
- Phantom of the Opera
Costume Design
- The Aviator
- Ray
- Finding Neverland
- Lemony Snicket
- Troy
Makeup
- Passion of the Christ
- The Sea Inside
- Lemony Snicket
Visual Effects
- Spider-Man 2
- I, Robot
- Harry Potter 3
Sound Editing
- Spider-Man 2
- The Incredibles
- Polar Express
Sound Mixing
- The Incredibles
- Spider-Man 2
- Ray
- The Aviator
- Polar Express
Original Song
- Believe (Polar Express)
- Learn to be Lonely (Phantom of the Opera)
- Accidentally in Love (Shrek 2)
- Al otro lado del rio (Motorcycle Diaries)
- Look to your Path (The Chorists)
This category was transformed into a Beyonce recital for some reason. Are there really no other singers willing to perform at the Oscars? While she did a pretty good job with Believe and Learn to be Lonely she completely butchered the beautiful Look to your Path by changing it from a choir piece into a solo act with choir backup.