2005 Awards Predictions Archives

Best Picture Posted on 08:42 PM

Brokeback Mountain
(Focus Features)		 Capote
(Sony Pictures Classics)		 Crash
(Lions Gate)		 Good Night and Good Luck
(WiP)		 Munich
(Universal)

Should Win: Crash Could Win: Crash Will Win: Brokeback Mountain

Yes, this is indeed a semi-surprise, a big semi-surprise if you like, but for the first time in a long line of Academy surprises, this one is a really good surprise.

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Best Director Posted on 06:05 AM

George Clooney
(Good Night and Good Luck)		 Paul Haggis
(Crash)		 Ang Lee
(Brokeback Mountain)		 Bennett Miller
(Capote)		 Steven Spielberg
(Munich)

Should Win: Ang Lee Could Win: Steven Spielberg Will Win: Ang Lee

This was the shortest presentation of an award, any award, ever! Tom Hanks was really in a big hurry to get to the parties I guess.

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Best Actor Posted on 06:35 AM

Phillip Seymour Hoffman
(Capote)		 Terrence Howard
(Hustle & Flow)		 Heath Ledger
(Brokeback Mountain)		 Joaquin Phoenix
(Walk The Line)		 David Strathairn
(Good Night and Good Luck)

Should Win: Joaquin Phoenix/Terrence Howard Could Win: Heath Ledger Will Win: Phillip Seymour Hoffman

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Best Actress Posted on 06:47 AM

Judi Dench
(Mrs. Henderson Presents)		 Felicity Huffman
(Transamerica)		 Keira Knightley
(Pride & Prejudice)		 Charlize Theron
(North Country)		 Reese Witherspoon
(Walk The Line)

Should Win: Reese Witherspoon Could Win: Felicity Huffman Will Win: Reese Witherspoon

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Best Supporting Actor Posted on 09:17 PM

George Clooney
(Syriana)		 Matt Dillon
(Crash)		 Paul Giamatti
(Cinderella Man)		 Jake Gyllenhaal
(Brokeback Mountain)		 William Hurt
(A History of Violence)

Should Win: Jake Gyllenhaal/George Clooney Could Win: Paul Giamatti Will Win: George Clooney "I guess that means I am not winning director tonight!". Clooney is the king of Hollywood and this win, and his speech only confirmed it. A little too thankful to the Academy, but still.

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Best Supporting Actress Posted on 09:38 PM

Amy Adams
(Junebug)		 Catherine Keener
(Capote)		 Frances McDormand
(North Country)		 Rachel Weisz
(The Constant Gardener)		 Michelle Williams
(Brokeback Mountain)

Should Win: Amy Adams Could Win: Michelle Williams Will Win: Rachel Weisz

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Best Screenplay Posted on 03:45 PM

Original Screenplay

  • Paul Haggis & Bobby Moresco (Crash)
  • George Clooney & Grant Heslov (Good Night and Good Luck)
  • Woody Allen (Matchpoint)
  • Noah Baumbach (The Squid and the Whale)
  • Stephen Gaghan (Syriana)

Adapted Screenplay

  • Brokeback Mountain
  • Capote
  • The Constant Gardener
  • A History of Violence
  • Munich
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Standalone Categories Posted on 10:48 PM

Foreign Film

Joyeux Noel
(France)		 Sophie Scholl
(Germany)		 Don't Tell
(Italy)		 Paradise Now
(Palestine)		 Tsotsi
(South Africa)

Should Win: Joyeux Noel Could Win: Tsotsi Will Win: Paradise Now

Documentary

Darwin's Nightmare Enron - The Smartest Guys in the Room March of the Penguins Murderball Street Fight

Should Win: Enron Could Win: Murderball Will Win: March of the Penguins

Animated Feature

Howl's Moving Castle
(Studio Ghibli)		 Tim Burton's Corpse Bride
(Warner Bros)		 Wallace and Gromit in The Curse of the Were-Rabbit
(Dreamworks)

Should Win: umm... noone Could Win: Wallace and Gromit Will Win: Wallace and Gromit They brought matching boe-ties for the statues "just in case"... Come on, Wallace won 70 awards out of 60 nominations... There was no surprise here.

Documentary Short

  • The Death of Kevin Carter: Casualty of the Bang Bang Club
  • God Sleeps in Rwanda
  • The Mushroom Club
  • A Note of Triumph: The Golden Age of Norman Corwin

Live Action Short

  • Ausreisser (The Runaway)
  • Cashback
  • The Last Farm
  • Our Time is Up
  • Six Shooter

Animated Short

  • 9
  • Badgered
  • The Moon and the Son: An Imagined Conversation
  • The Mysterious Geographic Explorations of Jasper Morello
  • One Man Band
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Technical Categories Posted on 10:48 AM

Marked below are my predictions as to who will win and who could win (my 2nd guess). For my comments and opinions on who should win, scroll all the way down. The toughest races: Best Score and Original Song.

Cinematography

  • Batman Begins
  • Brokeback Mountain
  • Good Night and Good Luck
  • Memoirs of a Geisha
  • The New World

Editing

  • Cinderella Man
  • Crash
  • Constant Gardener
  • Munich
  • Walk the Line

Art Direction

  • Good Night and Good Luck
  • Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire
  • King Kong
  • Memoirs of a Geisha
  • Pride & Prejudice

Costume Design

  • Charlie and the Chocolate Factory
  • Memoirs of a Geisha
  • Mrs. Henderson Presents
  • Pride & Prejudice
  • Walk the Line

Makeup

  • The Chronicles of Narnia
  • Cinderella Man
  • Star Wars Episode III: Revenge of the Sith

Visual Effects

  • The Chronicles of Narnia
  • King Kong
  • War of the Worlds

Original Score

  • Brokeback Mountain (Gustavo Santaolalla)
  • The Constant Gardener (Alberto Iglesias)
  • Memoirs of a Geisha (John Williams)
  • Munich (John Williams)
  • Pride and Prejudice (Dario Marinelli)

Sound Editing

  • King Kong
  • Memoirs of a Geisha
  • War of the Worlds

Sound Mixing

  • The Chronicles of Narnia
  • King Kong
  • Memoirs of a Geisha
  • Walk the Line
  • War of the Worlds

Original Song

  • Crash - In the Deep
  • Hustle and Flow - It's Hard Out Here For a Pimp
  • Transamerica - Travelin Thru
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